Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.206880 0.233565 0.261823 0.293917 0.329298 0.367051 0.410323
2025-07-20 0.175516 0.212262 0.253411 0.302699 0.359915 0.424018 0.501039
2025-07-27 0.149924 0.192561 0.242677 0.305487 0.381621 0.470415 0.581262
2025-08-03 0.132266 0.179251 0.236892 0.312040 0.406571 0.520633 0.667651
2025-08-10 0.119203 0.169599 0.233849 0.320594 0.433316 0.573385 0.758937
2025-08-17 0.104636 0.156037 0.224031 0.318922 0.446037 0.608351 0.828846
2025-08-24 0.093072 0.145050 0.216208 0.318589 0.459589 0.644111 0.900473
2025-08-31 0.083134 0.135138 0.208689 0.317585 0.471467 0.677457 0.969586
2025-09-07 0.076792 0.129701 0.206766 0.323822 0.493049 0.724130 1.057775
2025-09-14 0.069640 0.122233 0.201117 0.324005 0.505678 0.758601 1.130168
2025-09-21 0.063428 0.115550 0.195964 0.324290 0.518049 0.792741 1.202868
2025-09-28 0.057909 0.109391 0.191019 0.324330 0.529707 0.825917 1.274952
2025-10-05 0.053554 0.104906 0.188569 0.328359 0.548003 0.870130 1.365698
2025-10-12 0.050567 0.102462 0.189166 0.337105 0.573766 0.926149 1.475512
2025-10-19 0.046696 0.098040 0.186107 0.339671 0.589912 0.968334 1.566322
2025-10-26 0.043961 0.095396 0.185787 0.346573 0.613030 1.021668 1.675319
2025-11-02 0.041840 0.093676 0.186877 0.355776 0.640089 1.081803 1.796327
2025-11-09 0.038203 0.088633 0.181682 0.353870 0.648823 1.113715 1.875114
2025-11-16 0.035138 0.084390 0.177562 0.353464 0.659825 1.149325 1.960448
2025-11-23 0.032270 0.080231 0.173240 0.352344 0.669407 1.182794 2.043216
2025-11-30 0.030644 0.078515 0.173366 0.359144 0.692630 1.238747 2.162863
2025-12-07 0.028371 0.075144 0.170027 0.359337 0.704326 1.276210 2.253976
2025-12-14 0.026306 0.072005 0.166884 0.359644 0.716107 1.314028 2.346546